Iran’s ships stopped from shipping Ukrainian grain

Iran's ships stopped from shipping Ukrainian grain
Yesterday at 21:39 | Reuters
Traders are no longer booking cargoes on Iranian ships to transport grain exports from Ukraine.  Traders are no longer booking cargoes on Iranian ships to transport grain exports from Ukraine because of difficulties with payments following European Union sanctions on Iran, traders said on Wednesday.

“The issue has nothing to do with the government of Ukraine,” one Ukrainian trader said. “Traders cannot book Iranian vessels because banks refuse to transfer money to Iranian companies due to the embargo.”

Dealers said the development seemed to be another impact of European Union sanctions imposed on Iran to step up pressure because of its disputed nuclear programme.

Around 400,000 tonnes of grain largely from Ukraine and Russia is held up on about 10 ships stranded outside Iranian ports because of payment problems and trade disruption following the EU sanctions.

The EU agreed last week to freeze the assets of Iran’s central bank as part of further sanctions.

“The indication is that Iranian flag ships would not be welcomed (at Ukrainian ports) that is the guidance that is being given.” one trade source said.

Another trade source said it appeared that commercial companies were unwilling to transport any cargoes bound for Iranian ports.

“They will not load vessels bound for Iranian destinations or Iranian ships,” another trade source said. “It is not entirely clear if this has come from the government and it looks like companies have to make their own decisions on what to do. EU sanctions are very much part of the considerations.”

Ukraine’s Transport Ministry said there were no restrictions on Iranian ships. “Nobody knows anything about this,” a ministry spokesman said. “All our ports are open to foreign ships. There are no restrictions, nor can there be any.”

The tougher EU trade embargo has meant major EU banks have pulled back from financing grain shipments to Iran, a major importer of food and animal feed.

“The trade in Iranian food is getting extremely difficult as the impact of the sanctions is still developing each day,” a European grain trader said. “Ukraine has been a leading supplier of grain to Iran. Now it appears Iranian buyers will only be able to buy with delivery to Ukrainian ports and will face further difficulties in arranging shipments.”

According to data from the UkrAgroConsult consultancy, Ukraine exported about 445,000 tonnes of grain to Iran in the first half of the 2011/12 season. This included 92,000 tonnes of feed barley and 357,600 tonnes of feed maize”

Former Canadian official: Ukraine can become energy self-sufficient

Jan 27 at 18:02 | Marco Levytsky

Ukraine, which is heavily dependent upon Russia for its current natural gas needs, has the capacity to become self sufficient, says former Alberta Premier Ed Stelmach.

It could do this by developing its shale gas reserves, extracting coal bed methane and improving its own existing gas production wells, he told Ukrainian News in an exclusive interview on Jan. 18 from Kyiv, where he was attending the Natural Gas and Ukraine’s Energy Future conference co-hosted by the Massachusetts-based Cambridge Energy Research Associates (CERA) and Ukraine’s Ministry of Energy and Coal Industry.

“This is a huge, huge milestone for Ukraine. If they can at least manage their natural gas and get the formula right and the predictability in their regulatory regime, I am positive that we’re going to see significant investment in exploration,” Stelmach said.

Shale is one of the most common sedimentary rocks in the world and it is primarily composed of clay and fragments of other minerals such as quartz and calcite. Shale can be the source, reservoir and the seal for natural gas. Shale formations normally have low permeability (limited ability for gas or fluids to flow easily through the shale formation) and normally require stimulation techniques (such as fracturing) to economically produce shale gas. Shale gas is natural gas that is attached to, or “absorbed” onto, organic matter or is contained in thin, porous silt or sand beds inter-bedded in the shale.

Ukraine has plentiful shale gas reserves and making the country self-sufficient in gas, would take an investment of $10 billion each year for five years. Ukraine’s state gas company Naftogaz Ukraine does not have the financial resources available for such an investment because they have a two-tiered gas pricing policy, often selling it to resident consumers at a loss because of social obligations, explained Stelmach, whose grandfather emigrated to Canada from what is now Lviv Oblast in 1898.

Foreign investment is needed, but in order to attract this, Ukraine has to establish a transparent and predictable regulatory regime, he added. Currently only the big players like Exxon, Mobil and Shell have expressed interest because of the regulatory regime.

Another problem facing Ukraine’s development of its shale gas reserves are environment concerns and conflicts with regional authorities

One of the largest reserves of shale gas in Ukraine is the Olesko field, which covers over 6000 square kilometers in the Lviv and Ivano-Frankivsk region, according to a Jan. 18 report by Radio Svoboda. According to experts, this area has reserves of about 170 billion cubic meters of shale gas.

However, Lviv Oblast officials have blocked development partially because Naftogaz has not transferred the $127 million in lease money to the oblast for infrastructure and because of environmental concerns.

Stelmach says he advised the Ukrainian government to use third parties, namely scientists to explain the process in a transparent manner as Alberta does. There are a lot of misconceptions about shale gas extraction and coal bed methane extraction in Ukraine, he said. In particular, people believe that id wells are drilled they will put methane into the mines, when the reverse is true. Drilling brings the methane gas to the surface making the mine safer.

Stelmach also told the conference about Alberta’s shale gas technology which is the most modern in the world.

Ukraine imports most of its gas from Russia and current talks over pricing are deadlocked. Ukraine pays $416 per thousand cubic meters for natural gas with Russia and is contractually obligated to buy 40 billion cu. m. a year.

By contrast, in Alberta, where gas prices fluctuate according to demand and weather, the price on Jan. 18 – the coldest day of the year – when temperatures dropped to below 35 degrees Celsius, was $2.59 per gigajoule, which is the equivalent of $100 per 1,000 cu. m.

Russia has demanded control of Ukraine’s gas transit pipeline to Europe in return of lowering the price.

The conference, held Jan. 18-19, was the culmination of an intensive six-month research program and dialogue with the key stakeholders of Ukraine’s natural gas sector. Participation was limited and by invitation only.

Stelmach was invited by CERA in November 2011, cleared his visit with the ethics commissioner and appeared as an individual, not a representative of government.

Other speakers included Mykola Azarov, Prime Minister of Ukraine; Yuriy Boyko, Minister of Energy and Coal Industry of Ukraine; Christian Barkovic, VP Exploration for Russia, the Caspian region and Ukraine, Shell Oil; Cristobal Burgos, Senior Advisor, EU Directorate General for Energy; Steven R. Mann, Senior Counselor for International Government Relations; Alastair McBain, Chief Executive Officer, Arawak Energy; Bertrand Pallieres, CEO, Cadogon Petroleum plc; Edward Rendell, Former Governor of Pennsylvania, and Daniel Yergin, Executive Vice President, IHS CERA Chairman.

Marco Levytsky is the editor and publisher of Ukrainian News, an independent bi-weekly newspaper based in Edmonton and distributed across Canada.

Ukraine’s finance minister resigned Wednesday amid pressure over a blocked $15 billion International Monetary Fund loan

Ukraine finance minister resigns as economy suffers
Ukraine’s Finance Minister Fedir Yaroshenko seen during his meeting with Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych in Kiev, Ukraine, Wednesday, Jan. 18, 2012.

Ukraine’s finance minister resigned Wednesday amid pressure over a blocked $15 billion International Monetary Fund loan and the president appointed the head of the state security service and former economy minister — a longtime ally — to replace him.

Fedir Yaroshenko, 62, didn’t explain why he was resigning, saying in televised comments only that he hoped his successor would make few mistakes and work effectively. But analysts say the resignation hammers home Ukraine’s tough economic position and suggests President Viktor Yanukovych is looking to deflect blame over economic hardships onto his Cabinet ahead of parliamentary elections this fall.

Yanukovych appointed his longtime ally Valery Khoroshkovsky, a media magnate who had headed Ukraine’s Security Service for the past two years. Khoroshkovsky also was the country’s economy minister in Yanukovych’s government in 2002-4.

Yanukovych did not explain his decision, but some observers said that Khoroshkovsky’s loyalty to the president appeared to be a factor in the decision. Under Khoroshkovsky’s leadership, the security service launched a slew of new criminal investigations against already jailed former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko in a case the West has called politically motivated.

Ukraine’s budget is under stress after the IMF froze an aid program last spring over Kiev’s refusal to raise household gas prices and thus cut government expenditures. The central bank has had to spend its reserves to support the Ukrainian currency, the hryvna.

Yanukovych is reluctant to take the painful measure of raising household gas bills ahead of parliamentary elections later this year and is lobbying Moscow for cheaper gas.

A deal with Russia could allow Kiev to maintain domestic gas prices but talks have stalled as Moscow seeks control over Ukraine’s pipeline network in exchange for a discount. Much of the gas that Russia exports to Western Europe travels through the Ukrainian network.

Yaroshenko’s resignation “probably reflects broader stresses at the moment in the economy,” said Tim Ash, head of emerging-market research at Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc in London.

“The government battles against declining popular support, a weakening budget and external financing position set against a break in relations with the IMF, and problems in closing an agreement to deliver cheap gas … from Russia,” he said.

Yanukovych has repeatedly criticized Prime Minister Mykola Azarov over economic and other policies and some observers say that Yaroshenko’s resignation may be followed by Azarov’s departure as Yanukovych seeks to deflect criticism of his rule ahead of parliamentary elections this fall.

“Azarov may in the end serve as a lightning rod and leave the way for a politician with a more positive image who will begin to implement populist social policies before elections in order to raise the popularity of the ruling party,” said Anatoly Baronin, head of the Da Vinci Analytic Group in Kiev.

Read more: http://www.kyivpost.com/news/nation/detail/120773/#ixzz1jsOQEB6N

 

Yanukovych pledges democracy in 2012, doesn’t mention Tymoshenko

Today at 11:21 Editor’s Note: The following is an English-language translation of President Viktor Yanukovych’s New Year’s message to Ukraine, taken from his official website.

Dear fellow citizens!

In a few moments, year 2011 will end.

Ukraine has faced the challenges it brought with dignity. The passing year, without exaggeration, was crucial for our state.

We were building bridges and roads, schools and hospitals, stadiums and airports. We gathered record harvests. We opened Ukraine to the world.

Ukraine has reached a new level of relations with the European Union.

Ukrainians proved that our country’s strength roots in the unity of its nation. And we will continue cherishing and strengthening this unity.

Dear fellow citizens!

We pin great hopes on the year 2012.

These moments, we all pray that our relatives were alive and healthy, that God protected us and helped us in all our endeavors.

I am sure the next year will bring every Ukrainian family happiness and prosperity, and Ukraine – success and well-being. We will continue modernizing our country, will continue building a modern, economically developed, democratic state.

Next year, we will be hosting the European Football Championship. We will give our guests a worthy welcome and show our true, natural Ukrainian hospitality.

I truly believe that the spirit of victory will consolidate our nation!

I wish us all good health, fortune, and dreams coming true!

Happy New Year 2012!

What Yanukovych should say on New Year’s Eve

If President Viktor Yanukovych were wise, he’d take the opportunity of his New Year’s address to the nation to announce that he has ordered the immediate release of ex-Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and that she will be able to run in the 2012 parliamentary elections.

Yanukovych could say something like this:

“It is time to drop the fiction that Ukraine has an independent judicial system; nobody believes it – so nobody will believe Tymoshenko’s conviction is for a real crime. In fact, it’s time to scrap the system we have now and establish police, prosecutors and judges who are truly insulated from political pressures. It can be done, it has been done in many nations and we will copy the best examples to rid the judiciary of corruption! Moreover, speaking of corruption, I have decided that – given all the questions about how I got control of a multimillion-dollar riverfront estate named Mezhyhyria, I have decided to return it to the state! Let these two acts – freeing Tymoshenko and getting rid of Mezhyhyria – be the start of a true cleansing process for the nation in 2012! No citizen, including the president, is above the law!”

OK, it’s wishful thinking.

It appears that, with the unexpected Dec. 30 transfer of Tymoshenko from a jail in Kyiv to a prison in Kharkiv, the two-time prime minister — who is now leading Yanukovych in the polls — will not be getting her freedom anytime soon.

Besides, apparently under Ukraine’s archaic, complex and Soviet-era laws, only decriminalization of the offense for which she was convicted — a Soviet-era abuse of office charge — is enough to allow her to get on the ballot. Apparently, not even a presidential pardon or amnesty will do the trick. And the decriminalization law failed in parliament once, but could be resurrected again.Since the president’s party controls the Verkhovna Rada, his support would be decisive.

But it appears that Yanukovych will not be doing the right thing on New Year’s Eve. This means 2012 is more than likely going to be a tough year for Ukraine.

Yanukovych’s continued march toward authoritarianism is going to ruin the nation’s relations with the West while weakening his bargaining power with Russia.

Already, the Kremlin is salivating at the prospect of gaining control of Ukraine’s gas transport system, through which 80 percent of Europe-bound gas from Russia goes. Russia’s Gazprom chief Alexei Miller has even named a figure — $20 billion. Such a sale, if coupled with cheap Russian gas, may suit the short-term financial interests (they don’t appear to have any other) of the industrialist-oligarchs who surround Yanukovych and who own most of the nation’s top factories, steel mills and chemical plants.

Instead, Yanukovych will probably just refresh last year’s speech – mixing in upbeat talk about the Euro 2012 soccer championships in Ukraine next summer, about projected economic growth, about the great stability he has brought to the nation . He may even end with a bold declaration that the 2012 parliamentary elections will be the most democratic ever.

Here is the president’s address from last year. He might only change the year and keep the rest:

“My dear fellow citizens!

2010 has been a difficult but happy year for us.

We managed to do the most important thing – to change the situation for the better and overcome hopelessness.

Now we enter the New Year 2011, the year of the 20th anniversary of Independence of Ukraine.

This will be the time, when we build a solid foundation for all the changes and transformations we have designed together.Those, we have been waiting for and those we have been striving for on our way to common victory.

In the coming year we will lay the foundation for prosperity of every family and every person in Ukraine.

2011 will be an important step towards prosperity.For our honest and hard-working people deserve a decent life.For our children deserve a happy childhood and happy future.For our parents, older friends, who have been building the Independence and creating the wealth of our country, are entitled to spend the fall and winter of their lives in an atmosphere of warmth, respect and prosperity.

And therefore, we will all be working hard next year for that to happen.

I wish things were quick and easy.But even on the New Year’s Eve I have no right to tell tales, so I will say it as it is.We will have a lot of work.But we also have lots of energy.We have a lot of faith in our state.We have lots of hopes in our strength and God’s help.

And with that we enter the New Year.And with that we will win again.And we will be happy.

I wish health, good, and happiness to all the people in Ukraine and the world.

Happy New Year, dear fellow citizens!”

Kyiv Post chief editor Brian Bonner can be reached at bonner@kyivpost.com

US to Yanukovych: Free Tymoshenko

Dec 28, 2011 at 09:15 | Brian Bonner The U.S. State Department, in its Dec. 27 briefing in Washington, D.C., by Mark C. Toner, urged President Viktor Yanukovych to free ex-Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko and other former government officials from prison.

Toner opened the briefing by saying:

“The United States was disappointed that the Kyiv Court of Appeals upheld the conviction of former prime minister Yulia Tymoshenko on Dec. 23 and did not address concerns about democracy and rule of law raised in the initial trial and sentencing. We urge the government of Ukraine to free Mrs. Tymoshenko and the other former government officials currently in detention. We believe that they should have an unrestricted ability to participate fully in political life, including next year’s parliamentary elections.”

Tymoshenko was convicted on Oct. 11 of abuse of her authority as prime minister in reaching a 2009 deal with Russia that ended a three-week standoff and shutoff of natural gas supplies by Russian state-owned Gazprom.

The court proceedings have been internationally derided as a “show trial” designed to prevent Tymoshenko from running for political office. She is the strongest rival to Yanukovych. A recent poll by the Razumkov think tank in kyiv shows that the president’s rating has fallen below hers. Tymoshenko came within 3.5 percentage points of defeating Yanukovych in the 2010 presidential election.

Several members of Tymoshenko’s government remain jailed in pretrial detention centers on charges also seen as politically motivated. Besides Tymoshenko, ex-Interior Ministery Yuriy Lutsenko remains in jail on a charge of misspending state money involving overpayments to his driver. Lutsenko has denounced the charges as ludicrous and says the persecution of him and Tymoshenko is designed by some in Yanukovych’s camp to derail the nation’s European Union integration.

Yanukovych has said that he has no influence on Ukraine’s judicial system and cannot interfere in court verdicts.

Kyiv Post chief editor Brian Bonner can be reached at bonner@kyivpost.com

Tymoshenko: Dictatorships always end disgracefully

Dec 26, 2011 at 16:35 | Yulia Tymoshenko Editor’s Note: The following is a letter written from prison by former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko to President Viktor Yanukovych. The letter was originally posted on Tymoshenko’s official website on Dec. 26.

A letter to a dictator

Hello, Viktor Fedorovych!

I decided on the eve of the New Year to write you a letter.

Don’t worry, I won’t write about myself and the trials. I heard how you swore at a press conference that you had nothing to do with it. I believe you :)

Soon you’ll be telling the democratic world that I was already in jail when you were born.

But I want to write about something else – about our country.

In the current situation I can rise above the events and speak not in my own interests, and not in yours – but in the interest of our country.

Why, you ask?

..The thing is that because of a fatal oversight by the Ukrainian Clio (that’s muse of history in Greek mythology), two years ago you became the head of our state. It’s difficult to say what she, Clio, was doing at such an important time. But in any case, “we have what we have” – as Leonid Makarovych [Kravchuk] likes to say.

In this case, we have you as president.

You became the head of a state in which millions of Ukrainians live. And they will after you. And so I would like to give you some advice, which I hope will allow you to avoid fatal mistakes and allow you to save face and preserve the country for future generations.

Firstly, don’t try to gain the people’s love and respect through violence and rape. Forced love doesn’t happen. You didn’t win this country in a card game, you got the votes of people who confused you with your billboards. And today you are blatantly belittling these people. And the worst thing [for you] is that people already understand this.

You have surrounded the country in fences. One gets the impression that the most successful business today is the production of barbed wire. But, sooner or later, you will understand that you are behind barbed wire, not the country.

Today, as sociologists claim, you have a stable 7% approval rating. At that rate of loss, you won’t even have enough for the next year of your presidency. You think that you’re strong and influential, and that many years of bright rule are ahead of you. But don’t trust your own predictions. A few more fatal mistakes and they will all leave you, including Chechetov.

And nobody will come to your rescue. You already had a chance to convince yourself that with money you can build a helicopter pad, but not oppose the Maidan.

And so my first piece of advice – starting living for the people. I know this is difficult for you. So, if it doesn’t work, at least pretend that the people live in the country that you are temporarily working as president. If you can do this, everything will end much quicker for you.

Secondly, I’m not sure how much you know about international and geopolitical issues, but I have bad news for you: Euro-2012 isn’t an agreement on European integration, you’ve been deceived. It’s football.

Your biggest mistake was ending the process of unification with Europe.

By not signing the agreement on December 19, you set the country back by decades. The work of thousands of intelligent and decent people went down the drain because of you. At least think about your own interests, if you won’t think of the interests of the state. You will never succeed playing Europe and Russia against each other, as you hoped. Because they know you and your natural abilities well on both sides.

Every step, every action you take in a direction away from Europe weakens you, as president, and Ukraine, as a state. It’s no secret that for some, a weak Ukrainian president is the best partner. And so far, unfortunately, you meet this quality perfectly. Even though I don’t understand why you need this.

Realize that Ukraine’s future, Ukraine’s security and its interests, and yours as well, lie in the European plane. If you want to save at least some political face, return Ukraine to a European strategy of development.

Thirdly, don’t consider giving up the gas transport system. This is our last strategic resources. They only accept you today because this system still belongs to Ukraine. After it’s lost, you won’t have any arguments in your favor, of the country’s favor.

You gave away Sevastopol in exchange for cheap gas. But where is this cheap gas? Now you want to give away the gas transport system…what will you give up next year, Viktor Federovych?

Take the example of Belarus or Moldova. As soon as they gave up their networks, they lost all their appeal. Friendship ended in a second, along with the cheap gas.

Fourthly, stop the nepotism in politics. This always ends badly. Ask you friend – your predecessor – about this.

Only in fairy tales does a father divide his property among his sons. One gets the house, another the cow, another the horse. But you’re the president of a whole state, not a farm. It’s clear that you got married back in Soviet times when the sign hung in the marriage registrar saying “A strong family means a strong state.” But you’re holding on to this principle too strongly. And your family is already so strong that soon there will be nothing left of the state.

People might still understand if you gave your son the best car in the world, in line with his profession. But not he National Bank, Ministry of Interior and tax service.

When a country’s law enforcement and finances are run by a dentist, the whole country’s teeth hurt.

Don’t try to build dynasties. Ukraine won’t accept it. The Ukrainian Kim Jong Il will be a miserable and vulnerable man. You don’t need it. Don’t humiliate and discredit your sons.

Fifthly, don’t steal state assets so brutally, insolently and openly. It’s useless. Sooner or later you will have to return them. Recall Kryvorizhstal. The state isn’t your personal pantry.

Power passes and ends. That’s its nature. You can be a president in exile, but you can’t be the owner of Ukrtelecom in exile.

Sixthly, politicians aren’t always completely honest. But don’t tell outright lies. Everyone laughs when you claim that you don’t influence judges, police or prosecutors, that you’re fighting corruption, reading Chekhov. It’s such an outright lie, that it evokes scorn. People can tell when something is false, and they don’t forgive it.

When you say such things, the people listening to you automatically break out in nervous laughter. A president can’t allow himself to be funny.

And seventhly. I, Viktor Federovych, have studied the anatomy of dictatorship quite well. Its main characteristic is that it always ends. And always disgracefully. A dictator, despite all his power and resources, is a weak, frightened and restricted person. Fear is the only sense that he never loses. I think you understand what I mean…

In 2009 I met one unusual politician. This was a person will full confidence. He had a confidence rating of nearly one hundred percent in his country. Every day his people bowed to him, believe that he was sent to them by a higher power. He planned to rule forever and nothing eclipsed his absolute autocratic power. He divided the whole country among his sons and felt like the master of his land.

But just two years later, his dead body was being dragged by yesterday’s loyalists through the dust of his hometown.

And one of his sons offered two million dollars to escape from the country.

Despite the “nature” of our relations, I would never wish you, Viktor Fedorovcyh, a similar fate. I honestly hope that you can go to Yenakievo not the way the politician I mentioned when to Sirte. Everything is in your hands. At least right now.

And so, when you’re raising your traditional “Harrogate” glass by the Christmas tree, think at least for a moment about the nature of your power, think about tragic mistakes, about the ones already made and the ones you still want to make.

Analyze your failures before, not after, they’re made. Because after is too late.

Do this, because otherwise – “I won’t envy you.” In other words, think about all this…

Yulia Tymoshenko,
Cell № 260, where you assigned me,
Lukyanivka SIZO. Kyiv

Dec. 26, 2011

A prisoner’s Christmas

Dec 26, 2011 at 19:53 | Yulia Tymoshenko It has been said that there are no atheists in a foxhole.

Here, after my show trial and four and a half months in a cell, I have discovered that there are no atheists in Kyiv’s Lukyanivska prison, either.

When, despite unbearable pain, you are interrogated – including in your cell – for dozens of hours without a break, and an authoritarian regime’s entire system of coercion, including its media, is trying to discredit and destroy you once and for all, prayer becomes the only intimate, trusting, and reassuring conversation that one can have.

God, one realizes, is one’s only friend and only available family, because – deprived even of access to a trusted priest – there is no one else in whom to confide one’s worries and hopes.

In this season of love and family, the loneliness of a prison cell is almost unbearable. The gray, dead silence of night (guards peer in voyeuristically through a slot in the door), the sudden, disembodied shrieks of prisoners, shrieks of distress and rage, the distant rattles and clangs of prison bolts: all make sleep impossible, or so restless as to be a torment. But what is strange is that your senses are not dulled by this dead and dreadful world.

On the contrary, they are ignited by it: your mind is set free from mundane concerns to ponder the inestimable and your place within it – a freedom of spirit that is a truly unexpected gift this Christmas season.

In the cell’s darkness, I gather strength and hope from the fact that God somehow seems so near to me here. For where else would Christ be but with those who suffer and are persecuted?

Indeed, I have recently been reading Dietrich Bonhoeffer’s sublime and challenging Letters from Prison, in which he yearns for a Christ capable of offering mercy to a world, our world, then in the process of being martyred for a single man. Written in a cramped, dank, and putrid cell, where hope was meant to die before the body, Bonhoeffer crafted a book rich in faith, openness, possibility, and, yes, hope – even in humanity’s darkest hour.

One particular passage resonates with me as I contemplate Ukraine’s plight. As he awaited his approaching execution by the Nazis, Bonhoeffer wrote that, in prison, “the godlessness of the world is not…concealed but, rather, revealed, and is thus exposed to an unexpected light.”

So I take some comfort this Christmas in knowing that the godlessness, inhumanity, and criminality of the regime that is now ruling in Kyiv is, at long last, being exposed to the world in a clear light. Its democratic posturing has been unmasked as cynical political theater, its claim to desire a European future for Ukraine’s people revealed to be a lie, and the rapaciousness of its kleptocrats has been laid bare.The regime’s contempt for the constitution and the rule of law is now undeniable, and that clarity is empowering.

More importantly, the suffering of Ukraine’s people has also become more widely known, and we are no longer so alone in our plight. Alleviating it has been embraced as a just cause across Europe and around the world. The everyday oppression, stifled media, and shakedowns and extortion of businesses for bribes all point to a mafia state on Europe’s border.

Now our European friends can no longer deny the smug vileness of the regime with which they are forced to deal. And I am thankful this Christmas for being able to believe that democratic Europe will not tolerate this state of affairs.

Ukrainians will be strong knowing that they are not alone in their fight. I do not pretend to be an expert on religious faith and spiritual values. I am only a believer who cannot accept that our existence is the result of some freak cosmic accident. We are, I believe, part of a mysterious yet integral act, whose source, direction, and purpose, though difficult to grasp at times, does have meaning and purpose – even when one is confined behind prison bars. It is only faith in the idea that our lives matter, and that our decisions must be judged by their moral content, that we in Ukraine, and elsewhere, will be able to find our way out of the misery, unhappiness, and despair that has consumed us over the last two years.

It is within our power to recover or reinvigorate our freedoms and our societies, not by individual efforts, but by joining forces with likeminded people all over the world. I know that we will manage this.

This Christmas, I ask my family and friends everywhere not to worry about me. As Anna Akhmatova, the great poetic chronicler of Stalin’s terror, said, “I am alive in this grave.” Indeed, I am more alive, I know, than the men who have imprisoned me here.

Christmas is meant to mark the possibility of a new beginning for all men and women. As Bonhoeffer affirmed with his last words: “This is for me…the beginning of life.”

Yuliya Tymoshenko, twice prime minister of Ukraine, is the leader of Ukraine’s political opposition. Copyright: Project Syndicate, 2011. www.project-syndicate.org http://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/tymoshenko22/English